Berliner Tageszeitung - Stock markets advance on rate-cut hopes

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Stock markets advance on rate-cut hopes

POLITICS 06.12.2023

Stock markets advance on rate-cut hopes / Photo: © GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA/AFP

Global equities rose Wednesday with Frankfurt striking a record peak, as investors tracked resurgent hopes of interest rate cuts from the European Central Bank and the US Federal Reserve.

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Bitcoin jumped to $44,490.65, hitting the highest level since April 2022 on optimism the United States would soon allow broader trading of the biggest cryptocurrency, extending its bullish run.

Frankfurt's DAX stocks index hit a record high and Paris CAC 40 rose as sliding German factory orders added to hopes of an interest-rate reduction from the ECB.

"Risk-on sentiment is driving price action this morning amid growing expectations that the European Central Bank could cut rates early next year," said Victoria Scholar, head of investment at trading firm Interactive Investor.

"Markets are pricing in an almost 90-percent chance of a cut from the ECB in the first quarter of 2024."

Equity investors digested data pointing to a softening US labour market, rekindling hopes of a Fed rate reduction.

Tuesday's below-forecast job openings lifted optimism ahead of the closely watched non-farm payrolls report due Friday, which investors hope will confirm the economic slowdown sought by the Fed.

"Cooling job vacancy data from the US helped bolster expectations that we are at the pivot point of this rate hiking cycle -- though more news on the US labour market through the course of this week will provide a fuller picture," added AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

Markets rallied in November on growing hope that with inflation continuing to fall and other parts of the economy easing, the Fed will be able to slash rates in 2024, with some suggesting as soon as the first quarter.

The bank's statement after next week's scheduled policy meeting will be pored over by traders hoping for clues about decision-makers' thinking on rates in light of the recent data.

While the jobs figures reinforced rate cut hopes, Wall Street's three main indexes ended mixed on Tuesday.

However, Asia enjoyed some much-needed buying, with Tokyo up two percent and Sydney one percent higher.

Hong Kong, Sydney, Singapore, Seoul, Bangkok, Mumbai, Wellington, Taipei and Jakarta were also on the rise.

Shanghai fell, with sentiment dented after Moody's on Tuesday warned it had downgraded its outlook for China's credit rating owing to the country's rising debt levels and concerns over its battered property sector.

Elsewhere, oil prices fell further as traders continued to digest news of near-record US exports, which could offset pledges by Saudi Arabia and other major producers to cut output, according to analysts.

- Key figures around 1130 GMT -

London - FTSE 100: UP 0.3 percent at 7,514.93 points

Paris - CAC 40: UP 0.3 percent at 7,407.55

Frankfurt - DAX: UP 0.2 percent at 16,569.05

EURO STOXX 50: UP 0.4 percent at 4,468.17

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 2.0 percent at 33,445.90 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: UP 0.8 percent at 16,463.26 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 0.1 percent at 2,968.93 (close)

New York - Dow: DOWN 0.2 percent at 36,124.56 (close)

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0790 from $1.0797 on Tuesday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.2591 from $1.2595

Dollar/yen: UP at 147.42 yen from 147.15 yen

Euro/pound: DOWN at 85.69 pence from 85.72 pence

West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 1.2 percent at $71.48 per barrel

Brent North Sea crude: DOWN 1.0 percent at $76.40 per barrel

O. Petrow--BTZ

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